Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 390.351585 447.169788 511.631960 590.646173 685.517930 796.559352 937.531030
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 307.676931 380.175571 470.786728 594.200271 760.831700 982.368847 1306.814121
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 257.286750 333.407379 434.621538 582.445046 798.801532 1113.945911 1627.871970
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 226.989844 305.417661 414.994319 584.463199 849.958352 1268.670179 2021.344717
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 199.979493 277.079153 389.084487 570.466559 870.969446 1377.810515 2369.967537
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 181.077375 257.481614 372.407764 566.457900 905.034127 1513.650796 2808.784930
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 160.098201 232.108109 343.300876 537.134079 889.214830 1554.915844 3071.489525
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 153.214495 227.503469 346.010005 561.060165 972.327421 1803.080659 3877.911939
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 148.842819 226.230708 353.696435 594.475257 1079.739453 2129.978925 5027.295790
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 139.594759 215.930415 344.747379 595.688802 1122.568978 2327.458432 5936.120821
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 128.630614 201.697032 327.349047 578.136976 1122.193728 2423.369949 6597.758807
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 119.388279 189.608057 312.532323 563.597769 1125.644882 2529.981762 7356.740092
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 115.371417 186.464538 314.010148 583.023556 1212.605928 2888.107028 9268.714161
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 109.666060 179.835216 308.326424 586.781004 1263.720102 3167.435372 11123.790810
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 102.754554 170.427573 296.359251 575.203818 1274.135023 3330.503901 12627.688464
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 98.019123 164.639140 290.858282 577.190733 1320.317635 3624.222574 15068.000578
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 92.074928 156.130456 279.148176 563.410781 1321.205316 3768.872698 16886.747199
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 87.631167 150.150975 272.025608 559.463942 1349.083534 4021.358201 19678.975501
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 81.196321 139.917338 255.324963 530.589011 1299.465444 3970.674715 20448.233225
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 80.037551 139.864420 259.844471 554.149278 1411.440601 4596.793715 27117.388660
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 79.646894 141.281246 267.600780 587.046994 1561.739644 5470.023196 38005.713783
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 76.696973 137.336977 263.338099 588.241612 1609.796625 5918.007831 46105.810385
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 72.558709 130.714132 252.624763 570.962609 1591.675145 6042.691347 50933.373878